The Swiss TIMES Energy System Model (STEM) is a comprehensive representation of Switzerland's entire energy system with full sector coupling. STEM is designed to identify the least-cost combination of technologies and fuels needed to meet projected future energy service demands (ESDs). Thus, it models the flow from resource supply to ESDs across sectors, including space heating, industrial processes, and personal and freight transportation. STEM provides both a long-term perspective and a high intra-annual resolution, enabling detailed analysis of seasonal and temporal variations in energy demand and supply.
STEM represents a broad suite of energy and emission commodities, technologies and infrastructure as illustrated in the reference energy system below. The model also combines a long time horizon (2010-2100) with an hourly representation of weekdays and weekends in three seasons. The model is used to identify the least-cost combination of technologies and fuels to meet future ESDs (which are given exogenously based on a set of scenario drivers), while fulfilling other technical, environmental and policy constraints (e.g. CO2 mitigation policy).
The model's outputs include a detailed breakdown of primary energy supply, final energy consumption, and electricity demand and supply patterns by season, day, and hour for each technology type. It also provide CO₂ emissions, technology investments, energy supply costs, and the marginal costs of energy and emission commodities, among other key indicators.
Selected publications on application of STEM
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Luh S, Kannan R, McKenna R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
Quantifying the impact of travel time duration and valuation on modal shift in Swiss passenger transportation
Applied Energy. 2024; 356: 122412 (26 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122412
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Luh S, Kannan R, McKenna R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
How, where, and when to charge electric vehicles - net-zero energy system implications and policy recommendations
Environmental Research Communications. 2023; 5(9): 095004 (30 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/acf363
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Obrist MD, Kannan R, McKenna R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
High-temperature heat pumps in climate pathways for selected industry sectors in Switzerland
Energy Policy. 2023; 173: 113383 (20 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113383
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Panos E, Kannan R, Hirschberg S, Kober T
An assessment of energy system transformation pathways to achieve net-zero carbon dioxide emissions in Switzerland
Communications Earth & Environment. 2023; 4(1): 157 (18 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00813-6
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Kannan R, Panos E, Hirschberg S, Kober T
A net‐zero Swiss energy system by 2050: technological and policy options for the transition of the transportation sector
Futures & Foresight Science. 2022; 4(3-4): e126 (22 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.126
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Luh S, Kannan R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
Behavior matters: a systematic review of representing consumer mobility choices in energy models
Energy Research and Social Science. 2022; 90: 102596 (23 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2022.102596
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Obrist MD, Kannan R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
Long-term energy efficiency and decarbonization trajectories for the Swiss pulp and paper industry
Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments. 2022; 52: 101937 (14 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2021.101937
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Rüdisüli M, Bach C, Bauer C, Beloin-Saint-Pierre D, Elber U, Georges G, et al.
Prospective life-cycle assessment of greenhouse gas emissions of electricity-based mobility options
Applied Energy. 2022; 306(Part B): 118065 (20 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.118065
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Obrist MD, Kannan R, Schmidt TJ, Kober T
Decarbonization pathways of the Swiss cement industry towards net zero emissions
Journal of Cleaner Production. 2021; 288: 125413 (13 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125413
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Panos E, Kober T, Ramachandran K, Hirschberg S, Bauer C, Schildhauer T, et al.
Transformation of the Swiss energy system for a net-zero greenhouse gas emission society. Results from the joint activity scenarios & modelling
Zurich: ETH Zurich; 2021.
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Kober T, Kannan R, Pietzcker R, Deane P, Fuso-Nerini F
Research and innovation needs for clean energy supply
sine loco: Dialogue on European Decarbonisation Strategies (DEEDS); 2020.
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Kober T, Kannan R, Obrist M, Panos E, Heald S, Clements L, et al.
Swiss industry: price elasticities and demand developments for electricity and gas (SWIDEM)
Bern: Swiss Federal Office of Energy SFOE; 2020.
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Velazquez A, Pietzcker R, Siskos P, Luh S, Kannan R
Research and innovation needs to decarbonise the transport sector
sine loco: Dialogue on European Decarbonisation Strategies (DEEDS); 2020.
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Landis F, Marcucci A, Rausch S, Kannan R, Bretschger L
Multi-model comparison of Swiss decarbonization scenarios
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics. 2019; 155: 12 (18 pp.). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-019-0040-8
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Densing M, Kannan R, Panos E, Kober T
Long term role of Swiss hydropower from an energy systems and market perspective. Zukunftspotenzial der Schweizer Wasserkraft durch Synergien im Energiesystem und Markt Perspektiven
Villigen PSI, Switzerland: Paul Scherrer Institute; 2018.
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Friedl M, Kober T, Ramachandran K, Mühlethaler J
Fokusstudie "Saisonale Flexibilisierung einer nachhaltigen Energieversorgung der Schweiz"
Rapperswil; Villigen PSI: Hochschule für Technik Rapperswil (HSR); Paul Scherrer Institut (PSI); 2018.
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Kannan R
Dynamics of long-term electricity demand profile: insights from the analysis of Swiss energy systems
Energy Strategy Reviews. 2018; 22: 410-425. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2018.10.010
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Panos E, Kannan R
Challenges and opportunities for the Swiss energy system in meeting stringent climate mitigation targets
In: Giannakidis G, Karlsson K, Labriet M, Ó Gallachóir B, eds. Limiting global warming to well below 2 °C: energy system modelling and policy development. Lecture notes in energy. Cham: Springer; 2018:155-172. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74424-7_10
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Normark B, Faure-Schuyer A, Shivakumar A, Taliotis C, Deane P, Gottschling J, et al.
Storage solutions and their value
In: Welsch M, Pye S, Keles D, Faure-Schuyer A, Dobbins A, Shivakumar A, et al., eds. Europe's energy transition. Insights for policy making. Amsterdam: Elsevier; 2017:173-187. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-809806-6.00022-5
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Panos E, Kober T, Kannan R
Die Bedeutung von Flexibilitätsoptionen und Netzen für die langfristige Entwicklung des schweizer Elektrizitätssystems
In: 12. VDI-Fachtagung Optimierung in der Energiewirtschaft. Vol. 2303. VDI-Berichte. Düsseldorf: VDI Verlag; 2017:47-60.
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Shivakumar A, Taliotis C, Deane P, Gottschling J, Pattupara R, Ramachandran K, et al.
Need for flexibility and potential solutions
In: Welsch M, Pye S, Keles D, Faure-Schuyer A, Dobbins A, Shivakumar A, et al., eds. Europe's energy transition. Insights for policy making. Amsterdam: Elsevier; 2017:149-172. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-809806-6.00021-3
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Kannan R, Hirschberg S
Interplay between electricity and transport sectors – integrating the Swiss car fleet and electricity systemi
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice. 2016; 94: 514-531. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2016.10.007
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Kannan R, Turton H
Long term climate change mitigation goals under the nuclear phase out policy: the Swiss energy system transition
Energy Economics. 2016; 55: 211-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.02.003
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Panos E, Kannan R
The role of domestic biomass in electricity, heat and grid balancing markets in Switzerland
Energy. 2016; 112: 1120-1138. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2016.06.107
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Pattupara R, Kannan R
Alternative low-carbon electricity pathways in Switzerland and it's neighbouring countries under a nuclear phase-out scenario
Applied Energy. 2016; 172: 152-168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.03.084
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Kannan R
Can the decentralized CHP generation provide the flexibility required to integrate intermittent RES in the electricity system?
Presented at: 67th Semi-annual ETSAP meeting; June 1-2, 2015; Abu Dhab.
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Kannan R
Development and Application of Energy-Economic Models for Switzerland's Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios
Presented at: 2nd Asian Energy Modelling Workshop on Climate Change and Sustainable Development; July 23, 2015; Singapore.
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Kannan R, Turton H, Panos E
Methodological significance of temporal granularity in energy-economic models - insights from the MARKAL/TIMES framework
In: Giannakidis G, Labriet M, Gallachóir BÓ, Tosato GC, eds. Informing energy and climate policies using energy systems models. Insights from scenario analysis increasing the evidence base. Lecture notes in energy. Cham: Springer; 2015:185-200. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16540-0_11
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Maire S, Pattupara R, Ramachandran K, Vielle M, Vöhringer F
Electricity markets and trade in Switzerland and its neighbouring countries (ELECTRA). Building a coupled techno-economic modeling framework
Bern: Bundesamt für Energie BFE; 2015.
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Kannan R, Turton H
Interplay between electricity and transport sectors - Integrating the Swiss car fleet and electricity system
Presented at: IAEE European Energy Conference; October 29-31, 2014; Rome, Italy.
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Pattupara R, Kannan R
Exploring uncertainties in CCS - De-carbonization of the power sector and country-wise opportunities
Presented at: IAEE European Energy Conference; October 29-31, 2014; Rome, Italy.
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Ramachandran K, Turton H
Switzerland energy transition scenarios - development and application of the Swiss TIMES energy system model (STEM)
Villigen PSI, Switzerland: Paul Scherrer Institut; 2014. PSI Bericht: 14-06.
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Kannan R, Turton H
A long-term electricity dispatch model with the TIMES framework
Environmental Modeling and Assessment. 2013; 18(3): 325-343. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-012-9346-y
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